Euro zone inflation drops to two-year low in October; economy shrinks in third quarter

People have a look at the banking district skyline with the Commerzbank constructing (2ndR) throughout sundown in Frankfurt am Main, western Germany, on September 25, 2023. (Photo by Kirill KUDRYAVTSEV / AFP) (Photo by KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV/AFP through Getty Images)

Kirill Kudryavtsev | Afp | Getty Images

Inflation throughout the euro zone dropped to a two-year low of two.9% in October, in accordance to preliminary knowledge launched Tuesday, down from 4.3% the earlier month and under a consensus estimate of three.1% from a Reuters ballot of economists.

Core inflation — which excludes unstable meals and vitality costs — dropped to 4.2% year-on-year in October from 4.5% in September, in accordance to European Union statistics company Eurostat.

“Looking on the important elements of euro space inflation, meals, alcohol & tobacco is anticipated to have the best annual charge in October (7.5%, in contrast with 8.8% in September), adopted by providers (4.6%, in contrast with 4.7% in September), non-energy industrial items (3.5%, in contrast with 4.1% in September) and vitality (-11.1%, in contrast with -4.6% in September),” Eurostat mentioned.

The company additionally revealed Tuesday that the euro zone economy contracted by 0.1% in the third quarter, in accordance to flash estimates, under consensus estimates for GDP to be unchanged from the earlier quarter.

The ECB expects the euro zone economy to develop by simply 0.7% this yr, by 1% in 2024 and 1.5% in 2025.

Europe’s largest economy, Germany, recorded a 0.1% quarterly fall in GDP for the third quarter, barely higher than the 0.3% decline forecast in a Reuters ballot of economists. The economy shrank 0.8% on a price-adjusted foundation from the identical interval final yr.

Both the expansion and inflation photos stay extremely divergent throughout the 20-country frequent foreign money bloc. Latvia recorded the best quarterly development in the third quarter at 0.6%, adopted by Belgium and Spain at 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively. Ireland posted the best quarterly decline at 1.8%, adopted by Austria at 0.6%.

The euro zone has been grappling with excessive inflation for the previous 18 months, with the buyer worth index peaking at 10.6% in October 2022.

The European Central Bank responded with a run of 10 consecutive rate of interest hikes that took its key charge to a file excessive of 4%, earlier than opting to pause last week regardless of upside dangers to vitality prices on account of the unfolding Israel-Hamas conflict.

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