Economists cut Singapore's growth forecast for 2024, inflation likely to ease


The Singapore River and Merlion Park within the night

Photography By Bobi | Moment Open | Getty Images

Singapore’s GDP growth in 2024 could possibly be decrease than beforehand anticipated, in accordance to a survey by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

The quarterly survey, which compiled responses from 25 economists and analysts, pegs the city-state’s financial growth subsequent yr at 2.3%, decrease than the two.5% estimated within the September survey.

The economists anticipate Singapore’s headline and core inflation — which strips out costs of personal transport and lodging — to drop to 3.4% and three%, respectively, in 2024 in contrast with the present yr.

The respondents, nevertheless, anticipate barely larger headline and core inflation in 2024, in contrast with the forecasts within the September survey.

GDP, inflation outlook for 2023

Singapore’s economic system is predicted to develop by 1% in 2023, the identical as forecast within the September survey.

The respondents have a bearish outlook for most sectors of the Singapore economic system, besides development, lodging and meals service sectors. Private consumption is predicted to enhance this yr.

Inflation in 2023 is forecast to are available at 4.8%, barely larger than the 4.7% estimated within the earlier survey, whereas the outlook for MAS core inflation remained unchanged at 4.1%.

Singapore’s economic system is predicted to develop by 1.8% within the fourth quarter, after increasing at 1.1% within the third quarter.

Headline and MAS core inflation for the fourth quarter are anticipated at 4% and three.1%, respectively.

In gentle of those forecasts, not one of the respondents anticipate adjustments to Singapore’s financial coverage in Januray. The nation manages its coverage by tweaking the forex alternate price setting as an alternative of altering rates of interest.



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