CNBC Daily Open: A disappointing start to the 12 months, but long-term view’s still bright


Traders work on the flooring of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on the first buying and selling day of 2024 on January 02, 2024 in New York City. 

Spencer Platt | Getty Images

This report is from as we speak’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, worldwide markets e-newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings traders up to velocity on every thing they want to know, regardless of the place they’re. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

What you want to know as we speak

First day jitters
U.S. markets mostly fell on 2024’s first day of buying and selling, with the Nasdaq Composite having its worst day since October. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields climbed. Europe’s Stoxx 600 index fell 0.11%, erasing positive aspects of practically 0.7% earlier in the day, as information confirmed the euro zone’s manufacturing unit exercise shrank in December.

Tesla delivers
Elon Musk’s electric-vehicle firm Tesla reported 484,507 deliveries for the fourth quarter, bringing its whole annual deliveries for 2023 to 1,808,581. That’s a 38% year-over-year progress, and nearly meets Tesla executives’ goal of 1.8 million deliveries acknowledged throughout the firm’s final earnings name in October 2023.

Apple falls
Apple shares fell 3.58% after Barclays downgraded the stock to underweight. Furthermore, the financial institution trimmed its value goal for Apple from $161 to $160. Barclays analyst Tim Long wrote in a word to purchasers that Apple’s iPhone 15 gross sales have been “lackluster,” particularly in China, a weak spot that Long believes will lengthen to the remainder of Apple’s product strains.

Extended delivery detour
Maersk will pause all shipping by the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden till additional discover, the firm introduced, after certainly one of its vessels was attacked by Houthi militants primarily based in Yemen over the weekend. The Dutch delivery big’s determination highlights how the U.S.-led initiative to safeguard passage in that space, known as Operation Prosperity Guardian, is dealing with challenges. Oil prices fell Tuesday.

[PRO] Where’s the S&P headed?
The S&P 500 ended 2023 greater than 20% increased. What occurs after that? CNBC Pro’s Bob Pisani looks at historical data to learn how probably it’s for the S&P to proceed its upward streak in 2024 — and if the index can repeat its stellar efficiency twice in a row.

The backside line

It wasn’t the upbeat start to the new 12 months that traders had hoped for.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield added round 8 foundation factors to 3.941%, approaching the 4% degree once more, whereas the 2-year yield was greater than 7 foundation factors increased at 4.324%.

That put stress on shares. The S&P 500 misplaced 0.57%, dashing hopes of a brand new closing excessive to start the new buying and selling 12 months, whereas the Nasdaq Composite retreated 1.63%, its worst exhibiting since October.

The tech-heavy index was weighed down as a number of main shares fell. Apple shares suffered after Barclays downgraded the company, inflicting different Magnificent Seven shares to slip in sympathy. The iShares Semiconductor ETF dropped 3.6%.

Meanwhile, shares of Rivian slumped greater than 10% on information that the electric-vehicle company delivered about 10% fewer vehicles in the fourth quarter in contrast with the earlier interval.

Still, it wasn’t all dangerous information yesterday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average managed to maintain its floor, eking out marginal positive aspects. And shares of Moderna popped 13.12% after Oppenheimer said the Covid vaccine maker could launch a number of new merchandise over the subsequent 12 to 18 months.

Bitcoin, meanwhile, traded above the $45,000 barrier for the first time since April 2022, including to its sharp positive aspects of greater than 170% over the previous 12 months.

The long-term view for shares still appears bright, in accordance to a number of analysts.

The Nasdaq may hit 20,000 in 2024 due to an “AI monetization cycle,” in accordance to Wedbush Securities’ Dan Ives. Separately, Scott Rubner, managing director at Goldman Sachs, famous that shares solely noticed $172 billion in inflows final 12 months — the lowest since 2019 — implying there’s extra money on the sidelines to pump up inventory costs this 12 months.

There’s additionally the first rate of interest reduce to look ahead to, which has traditionally helped shares “rally for 6-7 months with a imply achieve of roughly 12%,” wrote Joe Kalish, chief international macro strategist at Ned Davis Research.

Investors should not be discouraged by a disappointing start to the new 12 months. A gradual starting, maybe, but the 12 months still holds promise.



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