After false SEC post on ETF, bulls still see bitcoin at all-time highs this year
After false SEC post on ETF, bulls still see bitcoin at all-time highs this year


Representations of cryptocurrency Bitcoin are positioned on a PC motherboard in this illustration taken June 16, 2023. 

Dado Ruvic | Reuters

St. Moritz, SWITZERLAND — Top gamers within the crypto trade gathered at a lavish lodge in elegant Swiss ski city St. Moritz forward of the Wednesday begin of the Crypto Finance Conference.

Many had been at dinners and drinks when a post from the account of the U.S. Securities and Exchange (SEC) on the X social media platform, previously often called Twitter, on Tuesday claimed that the long-awaited bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) had been authorised.

It turned out it hadn’t. Instead, the SEC said its account had been compromised.

The false information was sufficient to ship bitcoin spiking briefly earlier than falling. It additionally ruined the celebrations of the crypto trade gamers in St. Moritz, a lot of who’ve been ready for years for a bitcoin ETF to get previous skeptics at the SEC.

“We walked into the foyer bar, proper because the tweet got here out, and everybody was ecstatic … after which 5 minutes later after all of the drinks had been ordered … very unhappy,” Meltem Demirors, head of technique at CoinShares, informed CNBC on Wednesday.

“But, look, I believe in the event you’re a screenwriter, you could not write the narrative of this trade, it is wild, its preposterous, its loopy.”

The false post has not dampened the temper amongst crypto bulls, who say that new bitcoin highs are attainable this year.

“I believe we’re going over six figures by the top of the year,” Demirors mentioned, highlighting two key causes — a bitcoin ETF approval and the so-called upcoming “halving” occasion.

Both of those components underpinned the greater than 150% rally in bitcoin of final year — an increase that has continued into 2024.

ETFs pleasure

Many are excited a couple of bitcoin ETF, which tracks the worth of the cryptocurrency and permits market individuals to spend money on bitcoin with out really proudly owning the crypto.

The thought is that an ETF may usher in bigger and extra conventional traders, who did not wish to go close to cryptocurrency.

“This is a watershed second, no query about it. It’s going to usher in a variety of institutional capital, it should change the dynamic of this asset class fully,” Sheila Warren, CEO of the Crypto Council for Innovation, informed CNBC on Wednesday.

A bitcoin ETF approval would be a 'watershed' moment for crypto industry, CEO says

Crypto execs should not anticipating that the SEC social media debacle will totally derail the ETF approval.

Fred Thiel, CEO of bitcoin miner Marathon Digital Holdings, informed CNBC that the SEC could “delay” approval, however will seemingly give the inexperienced gentle quickly.

“I’ve a sense that they are seemingly going to approve a complete slew of them after which transfer on,” Thiel mentioned.

Demirors of CoinShares mentioned that the ETFs may doubtlessly see capital inflows of $25 billion to $100 billion of their first year of commerce, coming from varied areas, together with the trillions of {dollars} in U.S. retirement funds.

Where does the bitcoin value go in 2024?

The earlier all-time excessive of bitcoin was logged just below $69,000 in November 2021.

The bitcoin price collapsed in 2022, as initiatives failed, bankruptcies flooded the trade and main gamers comparable to the crypto exchange and FTX faced criminal probes within the U.S.

Bitcoin then rose by greater than 150% in 2023, with a lot of that enhance owed to pleasure across the ETF.

But bitcoin additionally has traditionally traded in cycles, which embrace key occasions called halvings — when the rewards that miners earn from mining bitcoin are slashed in half. This reduces the quantity of bitcoin provide available in the market and has typically preceded a bull run to all-time highs. There will solely ever be 21 million bitcoins in circulation.

The subsequent halving is because of happen in April 2024.

The anticipation over ETF and the halving has prompted the crypto trade to get very bullish on bitcoin this year.

“I believe bitcoin will both observe its historic cycle, which might have it enhance in value, obtain the prior all-time excessive a while towards the top of this year, then new all-time highs in the direction of the top of subsequent year. That’s if it follows historic patterns,” Thiel mentioned.

Bitcoin likely to hit new all-time high in 2024, Marathon Digital CEO says

Thiel added that potential financial coverage easing from central banks globally may additionally assist assist the worth of bitcoin.

“We estimate internally that we’ll positively hit the all-time excessive ranges by the top of this year, the prior all-time highs, and we’ll see into subsequent year what occurs past that,” Thiel mentioned.

CNBC beforehand spoke to folks, each inside and outdoors of the cryptocurrency trade, about their value outlook, with calls ranging from $60,000 to $500,000 for bitcoin by the end of 2024.



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